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The Griffin-US-EU files

Introduction

Europe and the US stand before their biggest Cold War yet; multiple potential regional wars, and threat of nuclear war with more and more countries desiring and reaching Mutually Assured Destruction status.
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This page is still under construction. It is purposefully delayed until next Thursday 19:00CET, to allow government diplomats to do their work.

Last modified

/diary/topic-SouthAfrica/SouthAfrica-dayTitle.html.php : 2026-02-26 05:04:43

The Griffin

A legendary creature with the body, tail, and hind legs of a lion; the head and wings of an eagle; and sometimes the talons of an eagle.
Featured prominently in ancient Greek and Roman mythology, griffins are frequently depicted as guardians of treasure.

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The eb and flow of warfare between humans

Overview

  1. The movie 'Enemy at the gates', described at imdb.com, a dramatized picture of how the battle over Stalingrad became the ignition point of the Russian counter-offensive against Germany in WW2, effectively enabling the return of warcrimes against the population of Germany near the end of WW2, keeping the endless cycle of violence inside Europe going and seeding hatred for at least 4 more generations of humans between neighboring countries, much like Russia did with their war against Ukraine, and the US, Brussels and London in Ukraine before the start of the recent (2026) war there by installing pro-western "movements" and "leaders" like Zelenskyy in Ukraine AND the Baltics, hoping for a quick territorial expansion of significant monetary value - wheat, grain, and minerals..
  2. The tendency of humans to attack one another with deadly force, also in large numbers, is staggering, in my not-always-humble opinion.
    Instead of honest trade, tensions of all sorts tend to create wars of all sorts, including regional wars, which inevitably leads to asymmetrical warfare and sometimes even serious fears of nuclear war errupting.
    Humanity is kept prisoner in a hard to escape series of cycles made of peaceful times, widespread anger, barbarism, despair, and fear.

Baltic countries + NATO vs Russia, over the Russian ties to Kaliningrad

Overview

Google Maps


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  1. Kaliningrad during WW2 (wikipedia.org).

Scenario 1 - Retreat

Ideally, the illegitimate opportunistic, sneaky and stubborn expansion of NATO into far eastern Europe should be somewhat reversed by NATO voluntarily. To do so, the roads and railroads towards Kaliningrad city should be handed over to Moscow north of either Alytus, Lithuania, or Vilnius, Lithuania.

Scenario 2 - Fight

This would involve the (eventual) annexxation of Kaliningrad oblast (so the entire "province").

Iran

Overview

The Iranian Revolution in 1979 led to a clerical form of government that has oppressed (and at times killed, sometimes in barbaric ways) it's own people, people in their own region, and even from far outside it's own country.

They play the helpless victim when they suffer a retaliatory strike, but soon return to threats and preparations for new rounds of violence.

It seems that Iran is a risk to either itself or many others, regardless of whether it is western oriented or Islamist/Socialist oriented (read the recent history section on the page linked to previously in this document).
It looks like a perpetual civil war over there, orchestrated from marginally stable governments.

We here in the west would be fine with an Iranian government of any roots, whether secular or religious, if they practice a foreign policy that is peaceful, and which would adhere to the rules of some kind of international order as well.

Now, the patient wise observers from Muslim countries might say (and I do consider these my equals) : "But we do adhere to an international world order. We have our alliance with the Chinese".
My honest reply to that is : how long do you think that'll last, with them being stubborn Atheists and all that?
Don't you think you're being used as proxy force cannonfodder yourselves?
Don't you want better for your families?
Well, you can keep your alliance with BRICS going as far as i, the author of this document, is concerned. And i'm a Christian white man of 48 years old. Just play nice with us Westerners and Israelis too!

For instance, both the Chinese and Western governments practice non-interference as their norm. But i suspect that because the clerics and politicians and military and intelligence leaders in Iran have chosen that infamous path of labeling the USA as the 'big Satan', and the Israelis as the 'little Satan that must be driven into the sea', we're stuck in perpetual war with the Islamists of the Iranian Revolution.

For more information about de-escalation options for the WhiteHouse.gov and Tehran, Iran, see this grok conversation.

Moldava

Overview

South Africa

Overview

Taiwan

Maps


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Scenario 1 - Retreat

Taiwan, we get the majority of our computer supplies from there, of course.
But is it even wise to keep it that way, given China's proximity + desire for their own world domination status?

And if Asians are just more thorough and harder workers than Western ones, at any given time, is it really a good idea to have them work from Asia's northern most pincer boundary, right next to patient cunning China, than it is to base these Asians in diaspora hightech communities in the West?

These are kind of meant to be rethorical questions, folks.
The implied answer is that it would be much better to bring all computer supplies production for the entire EU and US, *to* the EU and US territories.
A well-arranged retreat from that northern Asian pincer; Taiwan and South-Korea would eventually fall into Chinese / North-Korean hands, but we avoid regional and world war, also in the long term, and we can always meet China in combat at Japan or The Phillippines, further away from their shipyards (opening the avenues for drone submarine warfare), should they continue to think of the world in terms of domination (our mistake, which they copied).

Scenario 2 - Fight

Should we abandon the pincer that protects our hold on the South China Sea (South Asian Sea?) at all?

Holding a firm grip on the oil reserves in the SCS means holding a serious advantage in both peace- and warlike-times.

Ukraine

Overview